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Housing speculators are pushing Canada's builders into hell

已有 1606 次阅读2016-1-27 15:31 |个人分类:Frank's Writings

    

Housing speculators are pushing Canada's builders into hell


       Frank Aug. 12, 2015 in Waterloo, On. Ca.
 
      This absurd world made me suffocating. 
       It is more in favor of plundering for greedy people and is not conducive to make a living for hard-working people.
       The economy of Canada should not be built on greed-driven speculation, but instead, the material wealth creation.
       Canada should not become paradise for greedy speculators, but instead, it must be developed as the fairyland for material wealth creators.

                          --- Frank Aug. 13, 2015 in Waterloo, On. Ca.
 
     Canadians hard constructed homeland finally makes themselves jobless and homeless.
     Because of the greedy property speculators are destroying the survival condition for job providers - businesses, and housing prices are too high to afford for living. 
     Real estate speculation is economic heroin, it will excite the economy in short-term and destroy the economy in long-term.

     April. 4, 2015, House prices continue to soar in Vancouver to $1.27 million average priceThe average price for detached bungalows and two-storey houses across Vancouver, North Vancouver and West Vancouver have jumped by 10.6 per cent and 10.3 per cent in the last year, according to Royal LePage’s House Price Survey, released Wednesday. The average bungalow now sells for $1.175 million.
     June 18, 2015, 40% of Vancouverites feel priced out of town - Vancouver Sun: The Angus Reid Institute polled 821 Metro residents this month to find out how they felt about their housing and transportation situation. About two in five respondents said they were "seriously thinking of leaving Metro Vancouver because of the cost of owning a home here." That is not a detached house with a yard in Vancouver either - that's any old condo, townhouse or detached home in Metro Vancouver, suburbs and all. 

     May. 5, 2015, Housing costs, low salaries predict looming labour crisis:  The rapidly increasing cost of housing in Metro Vancouver could have dire consequences for B.C.’s labour market. Masses of millennials could be making a great exodus out of Vancouver in the near future if housing costs and wages stay on their projected trajectories, causing B.C. to face a potential labour crisis. This ‘brain drain’ is researched in Vancity’s May 2015 study Help Wanted: Salaries, Affordability and the Exodus of Labour from Metro Vancouver, which warns individiuals, businesses and governments that high quality labour is threatened by the increase in the cost of living and unaffordable housing prices.

    Canada is putting the economic development on the basis of the speculation. The real economy of Canada is being pushed into dead end.
    June 14 2015, I wrote article The speculators are destroying the foundation of Canadians survival:

    "The domestic profit-driven speculators speculate on properties and natural resources are playing similar role of destroying the foundation of Canadians survival."
    "The foundation for survival is not just the material wealth that meets survival, but the appropriate environment for the development of real economy." 
    "For example, high housing prices in Vancouver are squeezing real economy - business and labor out. Greedy speculators are destroying the foundation of the survival of Vancouver."
    "A country's economy can not rely on the support of speculation."

    July 29, 2015, I once wrote article Germany timely regulation of Real Estate Market sets a model for Canada, I excerpt some as follow:     
    The German government is the most rational world widely. 
    In the last century, after the U.S. President Roosevelt successfully saved the Great Depression by the means of the government intervene in the economy, the most of countries take Keynesian theory, such as, Fiscal Deficit, as the magic to stimulate their economy. Now, most of them are debt-ridden, and some of them become losers with bared buttocks and broken spine.

    However, at that time, rational Germans did not silly go with the flow. May be that they have foreseen that Keynesian Fiscal Deficit was just a short-term shot in the arm, can not long-term use. So they adopts own Freiburg School neoliberal theory that can sustain for long-term stable development. 

    Now, nearly 80 years practices have shown that the choice of Germans is smart prescient.

    In the governance of real estate market shows similar way.

    The most governments world widely have been taking the real estate development as a means to increase employment and tax revenue with ignoring its long term bad effect, and even taking the degree of housing market activity as an indicator of the level for economic development.
     When many others cheer for real estate market heating up, German Government has introduced a series of policies to cool the heat, and to make the development of real estate market in irrational path.
     The suppression of the rapid rise in rents and housing prices, it is not just in favour of people's lives, but also in favour of the stability of the cost in businesses operation, thus it is in favour of the health development of the real economy
     More importantly, people would never think of that suppressing the rapid rise in rents and housing prices will cut off a easy channel of people speculating for unearned interests, so that Germans can keep in high human quality to make livings by hard work rather than addicted in unearned greedy opportunistic speculation. 
     I think, this also is the significant reason that Made in Germany has been enjoying best reputation and the stable development of the German economy. 

     Following is some reports regarding German government timely regulating real estate market. 

     Mar. 5, 2015, German parliament passes law to cap sharp rent rises:  After months of discussion, the German parliament has agreed measures to control sharp rent rises in areas under housing pressure. Nearly 60 percent of people in Germany rent their homes. The law will restrict new rental contracts in areas of high demand to within 10 percent of the average local rent. In areas of high demand such as the major cities and towns with universities, rents are currently rising by 20 percent to 30 percent.

    June 3, 2015, Germany introduces big changes to rental market

    Mar. 11 2014, Germany Seeks to Shift the Broker-Fee Burden

    Jan. 23 2014, Most Germans don't buy their homes, they rent. Here's why

    Compared with Germany, Canada's real estate policy needs to be adjusted urgently. 
    In fact, it is not just that the housing speculators are pushing Canada's builders into hell, but, it is that wrongful policies of the government of Canada are making Canadians have no jobs and no home to live.
                 --- Frank Aug. 12, 2015 in Waterloo, On. Ca.

     The number of people turning to food banks is surging across Alberta and inching up in other parts of the country. With so many rumblings of a recession, those on the front lines believe the upswing could be a sign of tough times ahead for much of Canada.

Real estate dreams dashed: Priced out and resigned to renting

Skyrocketing housing prices in Toronto and Vancouver are destroying home ownership goals

By Sophia Harris, CBC NewsAug 10, 2015  Updated: Aug 10, 2015 10:04 AM ET

Jessica Moorhouse gave up on the home ownership dream when she discovered houses in Toronto often went for tens of thousands of dollars over asking price thanks to bidding wars. (Jessica Moorhouse)

Kat Armstrong is not ready to hunt for a new rental home. She and her husband Matthew moved their family into their current Toronto apartment less than two years ago. Plus, she recently gave birth to their third child.

But her landlord has just sold their building so Armstrong has reluctantly started the search for a new place. "It is exhausting, it's really stressful," says the 35-year-old. "We're at the whim of our landlords."

 "We have no security for our kids."

Kat Armstrong home ownership afforability

Kat Armstrong with her husband Matthew and her sons Lachlan, 2 and Henry, 4. She recently gave birth to a third son and is on a reluctant search for a new rental home for her family of five. (The Little Picture)

She and her husband would love to become homeowners but that dream has been dashed. Both earn good salaries; Armstrong even runs a small business on top of her marketing job. But the family of five can't afford to buy a house in Toronto without taking on a crippling mortgage. 

"Unless we were to win the lottery, I don't see it happening," she says.

Armstrong is resigned to a life of renting and so are many living in Toronto and Vancouver. Both cities have red-hot real estate markets where the average detached house is now selling near or over $1 million.

Frustrations recently reached a boiling point in Vancouver thanks to a social media campaign. It was sparked by renter, 29-year-old Eveline Xia. Fed up with out-of-reach real estate prices, she tweeted #DontHave1Million. The hashtag went viral, spurring a conversation about affordability and a rally to protest the high cost of housing in the city.

Eroding affordability

Despite the outcry, there appears to be no relief in sight. A recent RBC report noted that home ownership affordability continued to deteriorate in both Vancouver and Toronto in the first three months of this year.

According to the bank's calculations, a standard two-storey house in Vancouver sold for an average $929,000, requiring a whopping 86.9 per cent of the median household income in the city to cover the mortgage and related costs. In Toronto, the average price was $759,800, requiring 67 per cent of household income to foot the bills.

'The average home that would fit our family is selling for $1.5 million' - Vicky Shearer, Vancouver renter

The report also predicted the situation will only worsen in both locations due to "strong price momentum."

It's just more bad news for Vicky Shearer. She lives with her husband and three children in a rented Vancouver apartment.

They also find themselves at the mercy of their landlord; this is their second rental in the past five years.

"It definitely makes you feel less stable and less connected to the city," says Shearer about renting. But the 34-year-old believes home ownership is not in the cards.

"The average home that would fit our family is selling for $1.5 million." Shearer, who works for a non-profit, says that price is out of reach for her and her therapist husband even though both make good salaries.

She admits they could afford to "cram" the family into a "two bedroom plus den condo" but says it wouldn't be worth the purchase price. Space would be a problem and they could only afford to buy in a neighbourhood far from their work and the children's schools.

"The thing that stops us from buying is quality of life," she says.

Affordable ... on paper

Jessica Moorhouse thought she could finally afford to buy a house when she left Vancouver. She recently moved with her husband Josh Bowman to Toronto where real estate is at least slightly cheaper.

On paper, her goal appeared within reach — after scoping out listings, she figured she and Bowman could score a two-bedroom bungalow for around $500,000.

In January, they launched their search and Moorhouse saw their home ownership dreams erode with every house they toured.

She discovered properties in their price range often "looked like crap-holes. All these houses needed a lot of work and attention to things like, OK, you've got asbestos, you've got [bad] wiring and they're not going fix it because they can still sell it."

She and her husband finally found a small house they liked with a $519,000 price tag. But they lost out in a bidding war to a buyer who offered $70,000 over asking on a flood-prone home that needed major repairs. "It was kind of disappointing and disheartening," says the 29-year-old digital marketer and personal finance blogger.

Not wanting a dilapidated house or the burden of a massive mortgage, the couple eventually threw in the towel. 

"It's frustrating," says Moorhouse. "I did all the right things that my parents and grandparents have done and yet I can't reach that same [home ownership] goal."

She's now resigned to renting in a real estate market she feels is out of control.

Out of control rental market?

A recent TD Economics report noted that due to escalating home prices in Toronto, "renting is expected to become a more popular choice." But it also noted that that trend will lead "to a further tightening supply in the rental market."

Mother-of-three Armstrong says she's already worried about Toronto's rental situation. So far, her family's new home search is not going well. She found one affordable apartment but says it was "a dump" that would require new flooring and appliances.

"We're finding it's kind of impossible," she admits.

Shearer has a secure apartment for now for her family of five. But she wonders about renting in Vancouver over the long term. "The rentals just seem to be disappearing and they're going to be increasingly out of reach," she predicts.

For people who can't afford to buy, there has always been the option of renting. But a new crisis could emerge if, in Toronto or Vancouver, suddenly finding a decent rental also becomes out of reach for many.

Foreign buyers snatch Vancouver land with no immediate plan to develop

KERRY GOLD AUG.  14, 2015 4:00 PM EDT UPDATED  AUG. 14, 2015 11:08PM EDT

Wealthy buyers who are treating the Lower Mainland real estate market like one giant casino are proving to be a major obstacle for local developers trying to fulfill the city’s goal of providing more housing at an affordable price.

First-time buyers aren’t the only ones feeling the squeeze from the investor market. Marcon Developments Ltd. has been building housing for 30 years and the company’s development manager says speculators backed by foreign money are making it increasingly difficult to develop market housing that is relatively affordable.

They’re reducing the supply and driving prices by sitting on chunks of properties with no immediate intention to develop. As we’ve seen lately, these wealthy speculators buy up houses as land assemblies. They then sell to a developer for top dollar. And that cost is getting passed on to the consumer.

“Foreign developer groups are getting especially aggressive on land purchase prices,” Nic Paolella, development manager for Marcon, said. “They are pushing prices to a place where developers are not able to make the project economically viable. If we are talking about creating more housing supply, at a more affordable threshold, there is less of it to do that on.

“In the last 18 months, the market has seen a lot of Chinese money coming in, with a first-time developer setting up shop and basically willing to pay a lot more than what other groups are finding realistic, because some of these so-called developers are doing it just to park capital. Very little of this land that’s bought comes to fruition as a development. They are purchasing for reasons other than making [housing that is as] affordable as possible.

“They are just holding land. We are thinking of capital growth – they are thinking of capital preservation. That can be seen all over Vancouver.”

In Marpole, Marcon is launching presales for Park & Metro, which is a 73-unit, low-rise, two-building complex designed to merge sensitively with the single-family housing that surrounds it. The complex contains many two– and three-bedroom units that are in huge demand since families who can’t afford detached housing are now looking to condo units. Mr. Paolella says that, because of the city’s plan to densify the area, there’s plenty more opportunity in Marpole, but a big challenge is competing with the new developers. As well, there’s a limited supply of land.

“I think it’s very fair to say that around Marpole and the Cambie Corridor the holding of land is constraining our supply of housing.”

This isn’t a new trend for developers, but it is getting more difficult because speculators are more sophisticated. Hani Lammam, executive vice-president for big developer Cressey Development, says the new investor is often well versed in city plans, so they know about any possible upzoning – which is akin to mining for gold.

“It’s happening everywhere,” Mr. Lammam, who’s dealt with speculators his entire career, says. “The development hot spots are pretty obvious – everybody knows where the next wave of development is going to happen because the access to information is so easy.”

As a result, these speculators are getting better at it. So they are being more aggressive and buying the land first.

“Cambie Corridor is a perfect example. The prices there are astronomical. To think, these are single-family homes – teardowns – selling for $4- or $5-million, is absurd. If you look back five years, those owners would have had a hard time getting over $1-million.

“What people don’t appreciate is that the majority of developers buy property to develop right away. We don’t speculate on property. We only buy if we know what the development potential is. The land speculators are long-term holders of undeveloped land. We just don’t have enough capital to park money somewhere.”

A more recent example is the Burritt Bros. property at the corner of Main Street and E. 20th Avenue, which includes Bean Around the World coffee shop. Central and already zoned for residential mixed use, it was a hugely attractive site for any residential developer. Everybody wanted it. But the site was reportedly sold to a young offshore buyer who drove the bidding to a record price for that area, upwards of $11-million. Mr. Lammam, who was bidding on the property along with several other local developers, says the buyer paid way too much, but he could probably afford it. He says a lot of the new wave of buyers are people with more money than experience. Many of them don’t even know that they’ll have to pay community amenity contributions to the city on top of the price. Those contributions, for a community centre, parkland, or whatever the neighbourhood needs, can add up. If they discover the numbers won’t make sense, that’s when they sit on the property until prices go up.

“In this case, there was a group of people who understood the market, and then there was this outlier. Absolutely he paid too much.

“It’s not because he’s smarter, it’s because the less information you have, the more aggressive you can be. That site is not simple. It’s going to be a lengthy process.”

The Vancouver real estate market is strong, but not a sure thing. The land gamblers have sometimes lost. Rezoning around Cambie hasn’t been as extensive as initially expected, Mr. Paolella says.

“There are people that got burnt for sure. That’s happening now.”

And Main Street is still a tricky market, Mr. Lammam says.

“If it was easy money we would be doing it,” he says. “The gamble is that the market doesn’t go up. Or, you can’t rezone the property, or the demand is not going to move east as quickly as we think it is. Main Street is the perfect example. I know I can sell Cambie Street right now for $800 or $900 a square foot, but Main Street is a millennial demographic. They don’t have any money.”

It’s not only offshore speculators driving prices. Developer Daniel Boffo had to pay top dollar to a local man in North Vancouver who’d assembled land around the hugely desirable Edgemont neighbourhood.

“In that scenario, it was a local real estate guy that was able to make a buck by doing that. He knew the plan and where it was going to go. He was creative in putting together an assembly that would be desirable for a developer to pick up. It’s low risk,” Mr. Boffo says.

He had also bid on the Burritt Bros. property on Main Street.

“There’s a lot more money coming from overseas. And I think why they like land is it allows them to place a large amount of funds in one spot. It makes it simpler from their end, where they are looking to relocate some of their capital. Unfortunately, it makes it hard for us.

“With all the other stresses that the industry faces – as well as tackling affordability – it’s coming more to the surface now. But ultimately, if costs go up on land, and there’s not enough of a return to make it viable, it does get passed on to the consumer.”

Boffo Properties supplies both market and non-market housing. Mr. Boffo believes that the rash of speculation is a byproduct of the city’s growth, and a challenge for city hall as well.

“It’s a big topic, a big can of worms. That’s [the city’s] biggest challenge, in trying to grow communities responsibly and sustainably. There’s a lot of change that’s happened and that will continue to happen.”

  • Chinese buyers making mark on Vancouver’s luxury housing

  • The challenges of finding a house close to home in Vancouver

  • Vancouver’s detached house prices keep soaring as supply dwindles

    IAIN MARLOW AND BRENT JANG

    VANCOUVER — The Globe and Mail Oct. 10, 2014 updated Dec. 05, 2014 

    Qiqi Hong walks past her sleek, blue-tiled hot tub and an infinity pool that seems to disappear like a waterfall into the chilly air above West Vancouver. She leans on the patio railing and breathes in the majestic ocean view that takes in the towering Douglas firs of Stanley Park, the skyscrapers of Vancouver, the Asia-bound freighters anchored in English Bay and – way off in the misty distance – the faint, rugged outline of Gabriola Island.

    “We’re in heaven,” says Ms. Hong. “I can’t find any house that can compare to my house.”

    The serene West Coast lifestyle did not come cheaply: Ms. Hong’s home cost $6-million. But it is an investment she can easily afford. The irrepressible businesswoman founded a successful lighting-design business in Beijing that thrived in China’s building boom. It now has more than 100 employees. But tired of Beijing’s hectic pace and foul air, she decided to come to Vancouver – after looking in Switzerland, Germany and the United States – on the Canadian government’s immigrant investor program in 2011. She now also owns three other houses on Vancouver’s west side, each valued in excess of $1.3-million, as well as a downtown condo she uses on weekends and lends to visiting friends.

    Demand from wealthy migrants from mainland China such as Ms. Hong has helped make the Vancouver area the most expensive real estate market in Canada. The average price of a single-family detached home is $1.26-million, higher than any other Canadian city. The rising flow of foreign capital – stemming from a long tradition of transpacific migration and investment – has turned Vancouver into a truly global real estate market. One large real estate firm calculated that roughly one-third of the detached homes it sold within the City of Vancouver last year went to buyers from China. Vancouver developers and real estate firms have hit the jackpot, and some have rushed to set up offices in Shanghai and Beijing. Some now say Vancouver is a bedroom community for the world.

    The upscale Point Grey neighbourhood is on Vancouver’s west side, where benchmark prices for detached homes have soared. DARRYL DYCK FOR THE GLOBE AND MAIL

    But Vancouver real estate prices have also become increasingly unhinged from local incomes, prompting concerns about affordability. It has led to middle– and even upper-middle class Vancouverites renting permanently or fleeing for cheaper suburbs such as Burnaby. There is a search for better data on foreign buyers, which is only haphazardly tracked. There is now a heated debate – that includes accusations of racism – about whether anything should be done to curb foreign buying, or if what is happening is simply an inevitable, and welcome, facet of globalization in a free market.

    After all, the ebullient Ms. Hong hasn’t just bought houses here. She founded a charity with other wealthy migrants from China; the group just held a Thanksgiving lunch for 1,000 seniors and recently collected $250,000 for a local hospital and pet shelter. She has founded several businesses in Vancouver, including one in real estate, and drives to ESL classes. She’s learning English, and has even joined a protest, hitting the streets during the recent B.C. teachers’ strike. While she stays busy in Vancouver, her husband frequently flies to China to manage the firm.

    “In my opinion, I think it’s good for the economy,” Ms. Hong says, noting that the number of Chinese residents on her street has soared in recent years and that the local businessman she bought her house from made a cool $1.5-million more than he originally paid. “In Vancouver,” Ms. Hong says, “the house prices are perfect.”

    Chinese entrepreneur Qiqi Hong left Beijing to live in West Vancouver. The $6-million property is one of five that she owns in the city. IAIN MARLOW/GLOBE AND MAIL

    Vancouver’s housing boom has much to do with soaring demand for detached homes in tony neighbourhoods. Vancouver’s west and east sides, West Vancouver, Richmond and large pockets of Burnaby have most of the region’s top-tier properties. On Vancouver’s west side, detached home prices soared 51.5 per cent over the past five years to nearly $2.3-million for the benchmark index, which strips out the most expensive resale properties.

    Dan Scarrow, who recently opened an office in Shanghai for Vancouver-based Macdonald Realty Ltd., one of the largest real estate firms in British Columbia, makes no apologies for courting prospective home buyers in China. He says 178 of the firm’s 531 sales of single-family detached homes within Vancouver’s city limits last year – or 33.5 per cent – went to buyers with ties to China.

    “Vancouver has become a global resort city. The prices have decoupled from local wages,” says Mr. Scarrow, whose mother, Lynn Hsu, moved from Taiwan to Vancouver in 1979 and is now president and majority owner of Macdonald Realty.

    As he pursues investors in Shanghai, he intends to steer buyers toward commercial properties if they have no interest in settling down in Vancouver. Some foreign buyers have purchased Vancouver real estate purely as an investment, without occupying the properties or renting them out, but that has triggered some resentment because it’s sometimes seen as detracting from the vitality of a neighbourhood.

    But in general, Mr. Scarrow believes the positives of offshore money far outweigh negatives. Baby boomers can cash out at a profit and downsize with enough money left to help out their children. Selling houses also increases sales of appliances, furniture and home renovations. Vancouver’s housing market has become an important ecosystem unto itself, which explains why developers are anxious to keep foreign money flowing.

    On the rise: Prices have climbed sharply for Greater Vancouver's single-family detached homes

    *Benchmark price: September home price index that strips out the most expensive detached resale properties sold on Multiple Listing Service.

    SOURCE: Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver

    Five-year increase in price of Greater Vancouver's detached homes

    SOURCE: Real Estate Board of Greater Vancouver

    The twentieth century’s geopolitical turmoil sent wave after wave of Asian migrants across the ocean. Some fled Mao’s China. Taiwanese moved during cross-strait tension. Sikhs arrived after persecution in India. Many Persians have fled Iran. One of the biggest waves came in the late 1980s and 1990s, as wealthy Hong Kong residents – flush from a housing boom there – sought a more stable home ahead of the 1997 handover.

    Hong Kong investment in Vancouver real estate had been going on for years, but real estate companies began marketing massive new developements in Vancouver and Richmond. In 1988, Li Ka-shing, the richest man in Asia, bought the 203-acre Expo 86 site in Vancouver for what would become Concord Pacific Place. David Choi, the entrepreneurial founder of Royal Pacific Realty who sold real estate in Hong Kong, puts it this way: “Hong Kong people don’t vote with their hands,” he says. “They vote with their feet.”

    That migration is part of Greater Vancouver’s proud, multicultural history and present cosmopolitan identity: The population in the suburb of Richmond, for example, is now nearly 50 per cent Chinese, the most ethnically Chinese city in Canada.

    ‘Millionaire investors’

    Richard Kurland, an immigration lawyer who works with wealthy Chinese migrants, says “the main difference” between previous waves of Asian immigration to Vancouver and the current flow of wealthy investors is “the mega-size of the [Mainland] Chinese economy.”

    The tectonic economic rise of China has created – in the most populous country on Earth – an enormous new millionaire class. And nearly half of all wealthy people in China also want to immigrate to a developed country within five years, according to a Barclays PLC survey.

    At least 30,000 millionaires from Mainland China have immigrated to B.C. over the past decade using the federal government’s investor immigrant program, almost all of them settling in Vancouver. The federal program allowed those with a net worth of $1.6-million to lend the government $800,000 interest-free in exchange for permanent residency. The program was ended in the 2014 budget – with a backlog of 80,000 applicants, roughly 80 per cent of which were from Mainland China – but is expected to be relaunched soon.

    “We’re going to continue to get a solid supply of millionaire investors,” Mr. Kurland says.

    While Chinese demand is practically unlimited, supply in Vancouver – particularly for detached homes – remains restricted: There are mountains to the north, the U.S. border to the south, the agricultural land reserve, multiple rivers and bridges, and the vast Stanley Park. “There’s not a lot of dirt here,” says David Goodman, a principal at real estate firm HQ Commercial.

    A 2013 report from Sotheby’s said 40 per cent of Vancouver’s luxury home sales went to foreign buyers – mostly buyers from Mainland China, but also from Iran and the U.S.

    Ryan Rosenberg, another Vancouver-based immigration lawyer, says wealthy Chinese see Vancouver as a safe haven. Some immigrants, however, still spend much of their time overseas, especially businessmen who leave their wife and child in Vancouver, he says. At some luxury homes on Vancouver’s west side, he notes, agents have noticed a pattern: A lot of master bedroom closets contain only women’s clothing. “If China is a place to make money, Canada is a place to save it,” he says. “Canadian immigration status is one of the world’s best insurance policies. Vancouver has become an international bedroom community.”

    The affordability problem

    The Vancouver housing market has been less kind to Brent VanderRose and his wife Amy, who are both nurses. A few years ago, Mr. VanderRose purchased an older one-bedroom, 643-square-foot condo in Vancouver’s Fairview neighbourhood for $385,000. He and his wife Amy loved the neighbourhood and the ability to bike to work, and wanted to start a family there. But they could not afford a bigger place nearby. “It was really disheartening,” he says. “I feel like it’s a Canadian right to own a home.”

    The VanderRoses finally decided on a $585,000 detached, three-bedroom home in the suburb of Surrey, but couldn’t sell their older condo before the move-in date. Because they couldn’t afford two mortgages and condo board rules meant they couldn’t sublet their property, they rented out the new house at a $500-a-month loss, moved into a sublet with their newborn, and temporarily sent the cat and dog to in-laws. They finally sold the condo at a loss for $335,000. They are expecting another child, but say they are stopping at two – because of housing costs.

    This is typical of Vancouver’s polarized boom: While owners of detached homes see big returns, condo and townhouse owners sometimes see little gains in a flat market, or lose out.

    Although it’s surrounded by some of the priciest real estate in the city, the University of British Columbia has been sideswiped by the boom, since many students and faculty can’t find affordable housing. The university launched a housing action plan, pledging to build more affordable housing, but it can do little as prices for local properties rise beyond the reach of even well-paid professionals. Yves Tiberghien, director of UBC’s Institute of Asian Research, joined UBC in 2001 and has two kids, but he is still renting. “I am much less attached to Vancouver, because settling down is impossible,” he says. “An academic salary cannot allow someone any more to buy a family home, especially if you don’t have time to commute far.”

    After Hong Kong, Vancouver is now the second most unaffordable city in the world with house prices 10.3 times the median household income, according to a 2014 report from the Demographia research firm. Unaffordability is also a vicious circle. “Severely unaffordable markets are also more attractive to buyers seeking extraordinary returns on investment,” the report says, which in turn raises prices further.

    “What is interesting about Vancouver is how disproportionate the affordability issue is, how big the house price is compared to the average income,” says David Ley, a UBC geography professor who wrote a book about Vancouver called Millionaire Migrants.

    In his 2010 book, Mr. Ley shows that the rise in house prices were “prised loose” of local factors, and correlate almost perfectly with international migration to British Columbia. Vancouver now has the highest household debt as a percentage of annual income in Canada, he adds, citing a 2013 paper by University of Toronto professor Alan Walks. “In a bigger city, that effect might be a bit more diluted. But here, with 2.5 million people – with limited land for development – it has a huge impact.”

    “In my opinion, I think it’s good for the economy,” Ms. Hong says. “In Vancouver, the house prices are perfect.” IAIN MARLOW/GLOBE AND MAIL

    The race issue

    That outsized impact has led to heated discussions in Vancouver, mainly between those who think something needs to be done about affordability and those who want to keep the foreign money flowing. These debates have been muddied by a lack of data and inflamed by accusations of racism.

    They have also been complicated by subtle tensions between Mainland Chinese immigrants to B.C. and earlier arrivals from Hong Kong, some of whom assume wealth accumulated on the mainland is the result of rigged competition in a state-ordered economy, proximity to government officials – or corruption.

    The U.S. National Association of Realtors knows that 8 per cent – $92.2-billion (U.S.) – of U.S. housing sales are from foreign buyers, and that Chinese buyers accounted for 24 per cent of that volume. They also know that Asian buyers prefer West Coast property. But in Canada there is no such data. And some like it that way. Developers, Mr. Ley says, have long claimed racism to suppress discussion of foreign investment. One developer says limits on foreign investment would “tread very close” to the Chinese head tax. Others suggest it is racist or inflammatory to even discuss the source country of investment.

    “It is racism. Maybe I shouldn’t say that. It’s small thinking,” says Ian Gillespie, the chief executive officer of Westbank, a Vancouver developer with offices in China that built Vancouver’s Fairmont Pacific Rim hotel.

    The real estate sector, which has played down talk of offshore investment, does not think foreign capital is an issue. “Just because you have a Chinese name doesn’t mean you’re a foreign investor,” says Cameron Muir, chief economist at the B.C. Real Estate Association.

    Many remain unsure about what exactly could be done to restrict foreign buying. Statistics show foreign buying is a Vancouver phenomenon, but higher levels of government with power to act don’t necessarily care. One long-shot candidate in Vancouver’s mayoral race, Meena Wong, who is from China, suggested a tax on empty homes to fund affordable housing.

    Some point to Singapore, which recently raised its tax – called a stamp duty – on foreign purchases of local real estate to 15 per cent of the purchase price, with a 5-per-cent tax on permanent residents. The British government, eyeing London, moved in the 2014 budget to have its 15-per-cent stamp duty on foreign buyers apply to a greater percentage of home sales, reducing the target threshold from ?2-million to ?500,000.

    Teranet National-Bank Monthly House Price Index - Vancouver vs Canada

    Tracks the change in house prices. Not seasonally adjusted. June 2005=100

    SOURCE: Teranet National-Bank

    David Ren, who made his fortune in telecom equipment and purchased his ocean-side West Vancouver home for about $3-million (Canadian) several years ago, says an open-door policy has brought prosperity.

    Sitting on a gold-coloured couch with ornately carved wooden arms, he compares what is happening in Vancouver real estate to Qingdao’s fish market. Decades ago, only locals in his hometown bought seafood and prices were low. As China’s economy took off, Qingdao fisherfolk found they could sell to a global market, and locals saw prices soar.

    “It’s globalization. As long as Vancouver welcomes immigrants, there will be people willing to move here – and inevitably prices will get driven up,” Mr. Ren says. “That’s the choice of Vancouverites: Whether we will welcome the benefits that come with this foreign investment, or whether we want to say no to globalization.”

    The view from David Ren's patio at his home in Vancouver. IAIN MARLOW/GLOBE AND MAIL

    As evening falls over the palatial lots of West Vancouver, Ms. Hong’s guests begin to arrive. Her husband Qing Feng is turning 51. And before the white bottles of Moutai baijiu (rice wine) come out, he is cooking amiably with his 10-year-old daughter, trying to recreate a ratatouille she has seen on YouTube.

    He then prepares a feast of a dozen dishes with the wok on their gas stove: A whole fish, various vegetable dishes, stir-fried egg-and-tomato, a bowl of peanuts. Guests, including their friend Mr. Ren, toast Mr. Feng repeatedly. Morebaijiu is poured. Wine glasses are refilled. Lights twinkle on the far shore.

    The ratatouille is roundly praised. But there is something about it that is not quite French. A Chinese guest, a former employee of Ms. Hong’s, asks Mr. Feng if he has tampered with the original recipe. He roars with approval. He has, indeed: Soy sauce, some spices, pork.

    “Fusion!” he yells out.

    Editor's Note: After the publication of this article, Ms. Hong has now told The Globe and Mail that while she owns the condo and the $6-million house she lives in, a real estate holding company in which she is part-owner, owns the three other houses on the west side.

    Follow us on Twitter: Iain Marlow @iainmarlowBrent Jang @brentcjang

    -------------------

    Rental woes: Prices jump, vacancy shrinks for Vancouver, Toronto

    Young people struggle to find affordable rentals in hot real estate markets

    By Sophia Harris, CBC News  Aug 12, 2015 Updated: Aug 12, 2015 5:00 AM ET

    http://www.cbc.ca/news/business/rental-woes-prices-jump-vacancy-shrinks-for-vancouver-toronto-1.3186886

    Jacob Butula, 30, finally found an affordable Vancouver rental after a difficult search both online and in person.

    Jacob Butula, 30, finally found an affordable Vancouver rental after a difficult search both online and in person. (Joey Ritchie)














    After a trying search, Jacob Butula has finally found a place to rent in Vancouver. But the apartment on the top floor of a house is far from ideal. Only a sheet separates his room from the living room that he will soon share with three roommates.

    One roommate has promised to build him a makeshift wooden wall to replace the sheet. But it still means everyone living there will have easy access to his room.

    "I hope I can trust these people with my stuff when I'm gone because they can just pull the wood [wall] aside and enter my room if they feel like it," says the 30-year-old Butula

    "It's a sacrifice I'm making for affordable rent," he adds, as he moves to Vancouver to finish a master's degree in counselling psychology and complete his practicum.

    For now, he believes a temporary wall may be as good as it gets with his $750 a month rent limit.

    Shrinking vacancy

    According to Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation'sspring rental market survey, the vacancy rate in greater Vancouver now sits at less than half the national average for large centres. It declined to 1.4 per cent in April 2015 from 1.8 per cent a year earlier.

    At the same time, the average rent on a two-bedroom unit jumped 3.4 per cent to $1,345 a month — the highest rent in the country.

    The situation isn't much better in the Toronto region, which had a rental vacancy rate of 1.8 per cent in April, down from 1.9 per cent in April 2014. The average rent for a two-bedroom also jumped 1.8 per cent to $1,269.

    And the situation could get worse. A recent TD Economics report noted that due to escalating home prices in the Greater Toronto Area, it's expected more people will choose to rent, leading "to a further tightening supply in the rental market."

    July report by realtor David Goodman concluded that a shortage of rental stock and unprecedented demand in and around Vancouver are creating the perfect storm for a "rent increase tsunami."

    Hunt for affordable shelter

    'At this point, I'm like, this is too weird for me'- Jacob Butula, Vancouver renter

    As for Butula, all he wanted was to rent a room in a house.

    But he found even that was a challenge. "It's a little ridiculous," he says.

    When he started his search, he says he answered more than 30 online rental ads and had only two responses.

    He also posted his own ad, which led to just two more responses. And by the time the grad student had taken the ferry from his current home in Victoria to Vancouver, he discovered the first rental he had booked to see had already been snapped up.

    The second place he saw didn't pan out either. The first thing the landlord did was hand him a page-long list of house rules that included no overnight guests.

    "At this point, I'm like, this is too weird for me. I'm out, thank you." He also gave up on the third location because the landlady suggested he couldn't have guests for at least the first two months.

    So when Butula finally scored the room with a makeshift wall, he decided "it's good enough and I'll make it work."

    Rentals for the rich

    Real estate expert John Andrew says there are quality rentals available in hot real estate markets, Toronto and Vancouver  — if you're willing to pay a premium price for a condo.

    "If you can afford the $2,000 a month, which is pretty typical for a one-bedroom [condo], you're fine," says the Queen's University professor.

    Andrew says condos make up a majority of Toronto's new rental supply because they're a more lucrative investment than apartment buildings.

    "There's no way for developers to make money building traditional rental apartments. There's very few of those being built. It's so much easier to make money with condominiums," he says.

    But the surge in condo development means slim pickings for renters on a tight budget, including those trying to save for a first home. 

    "For those people who can't afford [condo rents], it is really, really competitive and very difficult," Andrew says.

    Munib Sajjad decided it was impossible for him. He works full time as the executive director of the University of Toronto Students' Union, but he is also saddled with student loan payments.

    Unable to afford to rent a place near his work at the university's Mississauga campus, he instead lives with his parents in Scarborough. He spends about three hours a day commuting to and from work. The situation "gets to be really troublesome, very, very frustrating," says 26-year-old Sajjad.

    He says he knows several recent university grads who want to pursue careers in Toronto, but are hampered by the city's high rent prices. "It's absurd, it's so inaccessible for anyone that wants to find a new job or new beginnings."

    Any relief in sight?

    Professor Andrew says cities like Toronto and Vancouver would probably need assistance from the federal government to offer more affordable rentals.

    "Unless there was some sort of a federal affordable housing mandate, that's about the only thing that would address this, where you're subsidizing the construction of rental housing," he says.

    But he adds that he doesn't think that's going to happen. "Now we're into a federal election campaign and we're not hearing any [politician] talking about that."

    Andrew says, instead, what may help struggling renters down the road is if the soaring condo construction in places like Toronto and Vancouver eventually turns into a condo glut.

    "If [a condo rental] sits there empty for months, sure they're going to lower the rent, it will certainly help," he says.

    But, he adds, "We're really not seeing that happening yet."

    ‘Millionaire investors’

    Vancouver’s real estate boom: The rising price of ‘heaven’ 

     Richard Kurland, an immigration lawyer who works with wealthy Chinese migrants, says “the main difference” between previous waves of Asian immigration to Vancouver and the current flow of wealthy investors is “the mega-size of the [Mainland] Chinese economy.”

    The tectonic economic rise of China has created – in the most populous country on Earth – an enormous new millionaire class. And nearly half of all wealthy people in China also want to immigrate to a developed country within five years, according to a Barclays PLC survey.

    At least 30,000 millionaires from Mainland China have immigrated to B.C. over the past decade using the federal government’s investor immigrant program, almost all of them settling in Vancouver. The federal program allowed those with a net worth of $1.6-million to lend the government $800,000 interest-free in exchange for permanent residency. The program was ended in the 2014 budget – with a backlog of 80,000 applicants, roughly 80 per cent of which were from Mainland China – but is expected to be relaunched soon.

    “We’re going to continue to get a solid supply of millionaire investors,” Mr. Kurland says.

    While Chinese demand is practically unlimited, supply in Vancouver – particularly for detached homes – remains restricted: There are mountains to the north, the U.S. border to the south, the agricultural land reserve, multiple rivers and bridges, and the vast Stanley Park. “There’s not a lot of dirt here,” says David Goodman, a principal at real estate firm HQ Commercial.

    A 2013 report from Sotheby’s said 40 per cent of Vancouver’s luxury home sales went to foreign buyers – mostly buyers from Mainland China, but also from Iran and the U.S.

    Ryan Rosenberg, another Vancouver-based immigration lawyer, says wealthy Chinese see Vancouver as a safe haven. Some immigrants, however, still spend much of their time overseas, especially businessmen who leave their wife and child in Vancouver, he says. At some luxury homes on Vancouver’s west side, he notes, agents have noticed a pattern: A lot of master bedroom closets contain only women’s clothing. “If China is a place to make money, Canada is a place to save it,” he says. “Canadian immigration status is one of the world’s best insurance policies. Vancouver has become an international bedroom community.”

    Posted by Prab Dhoot on October 16, 2014

    Outpricing The Neighbourhood

    TUESDAY, OCTOBER 14, 2014

    "In my opinion, I think it's good for the economy. In Vancouver, the house prices are perfect."
    Qiqi Hong, Vancouver homeowner

    "Vancouver has become a global resort city. The prices have decoupled from local wages."
    Dan Scarrow, realtor, Macdonald Realty Ltd.

    "The main difference [between previous waves of Asian immigration to Vancouver and the current flow of wealthy investors is] the megasize of the [Mainland] Chinese economy."
    "We're going to continue to get a solid supply of millionaire investors."
    Richard Kurland, Immigration lawyer, Vancouver

    "If China is a place to make money, Canada is a place to save it. Canadian immigration status is one of the world's best insurance policies. Vancouver has become an international bedroom community."
    Ryan Rosenberg, Immigration lawyer, Vancouver

    We're talking housing boom here. With a soaring demand for detached homes in Vancouver's west and east sides; West Vancouver, Richmond and parts of Burnaby with the region's most sought-after properties, but priced well out of the reach of most Vancouverites, even those with stable, well-remunerated jobs. On the city's west side, detached house prices lofted 51.5% over the past five years with a benchmark price of $2.3-million.

    One of the largest real estate companies in British Columbia has opened an office in Shanghai for the express purpose of eliciting buyers for the luxury home market in Vancouver. Dan Scarrow explains that 178 of his firm's 531 sales of single-family detached homes located within city limits last year -- 33.5% -- were bought by homeowners with ties to China.

    Wave after wave of Asian migrants have crossed the Pacific as geopolitical uncertainty caused people to flee Mao's China, Taiwanese moved to escape cross-strait tension, Sikhs to leave social-religious insecurity India, and Persians to flee from Revolutionary Iran. Wealthy Hong Kongers uncertain over the results of the 1997 handover of Hong Kong from a British protectorate to a Chinese economic zone looked for stability abroad and found it in Canadian citizenship.

    The most populous country on the planet has seen its economic fortunes rise over the last forty years and with it a huge class of new millionaires. And, as they become financially stable themselves, it seems that wealthy Chinese are eager to migrate to a more stable social-political environment which Canada represents. Over the past ten years about 30,000 millionaires have taken advantage of the federal government's investor immigrant program.

    That federal program permitted anyone with a net value of $1.6-million to 'lend' the government $800,000 interest-free for permanent residency; yes, citizenship for sale. Ended in the 2014 budget the program is still likely to be relaunched. And the tight home-buyer's market in Vancouver will become even more out of bounds for most people who live and work in Vancouver. Such homes are not limitless, they are a very finite product.

    With mountains to the north, the American border to the south, agricultural land reserve, multiple rivers and bridges and the existence of Stanley Park on vast acreage "There's not a lot of dirt here", quipped David Goodman, a principal at real estate firm HQ Commercial. Property owners originally from Hong Kong often leave their families in Vancouver, living the Canadian life while the paterfamilias returns to business in Hong Kong.

    A report from Sothebys dated 2013 stated that 40 percent of Vancouver's luxury home sales went to foreign purchasers, mostly buyers from Mainland China, from Iran and from the United States. Vancouver is prized as a safe haven. Vancouver now represents the second most unaffordable city in the world, its house prices ten times the median household income, according to a 2014 report from the Demographia research firm. "Severely unaffordable markets are also more attractive to buyers seeking extraordinary returns on investment."

    Vancouver now can boast with profound regret that it has the highest household debt as a percentage of annual income in Canada. "What is interesting about Vancouver is how disproportionate the affordability issue is, how big the house price is compared to the average income", stated David Ley, a geography professor at University of British Columbia. "In a bigger city, that effect might be a bit more diluted. But here, with 2.5 million people -- with limited land for development -- it has a huge impact."

    "It's globalization. As long as Vancouver welcomes immigrants, there will be people willing to move here -- and inevitably prices will get driven up. That's the choice of Vancouverites: Whether we will welcome the benefits that come with this foreign investment, or whether we want to say no to globalization", explained David Ren who bought his ocean-side West Vancouver home for about $3-million several years ago.

    Any Vancouverite with a good, not great salary who managed to scrape up a decent down-payment in the $100,000-range a decade ago when very modest single-family homes were still available for $500,000 and was prepared to rent out part of their new home to help pay the mortgage, is now sitting on an investment that has more than doubled, one that, if they so wished, they could call in, to make themselves rather wealthy, as long as they had no intention of remaining in Vancouver.

    Labels: CanadaImmigrationSocial Cultural Deviations,Vancouver

    posted by Pieface @ 6:21 PM

    Entire city block in upscale Vancouver neighbourhood listed for $28-million

    Video: Hong Kong businesswoman tells why she chose Vancouver real estate

    Greater Vancouver housing sales soar during usually slow September

    Tories would gather data on foreign home ownership if re-elected: Harper

    IAIN MARLOW VANCOUVER — THE GLOBE AND MAIL  AUG. 12, 2015  UPDATED, AUG. 12, 2015 11:22PM EDT

    http://www.theglobeandmail.com/report-on-business/economy/housing/the-real-estate-beat/harper-promises-closer-look-at-foreign-investment-in-canadian-homes-condos/article25941040/

     

    Conservative Leader Stephen Harper said on Wednesday that his government, if re-elected, would begin collecting data on foreign ownership of Canadian real estate – and would consider new taxes and regulations to ensure housing remained affordable.

    Mr. Harper, who has made numerous campaign promises since the federal election got underway, made the remarks in Vancouver, where the average price of a detached house has soared to $2.23-million amid intense debate about an affordability crisis and the role that foreign capital and “non-resident” buyers play in the city’s housing market.

    CP Video Aug. 12 2015, 4:34 PM EDT

    Video: Re-elected Tories would track foreign home ownership: Harper

    On Wednesday, The Globe and Mail reported that Macdonald Realty Ltd., a prominent British Columbia real-estate company, said 70 per cent of the properties priced at more than $3-million that it sold in 2014 went to buyers from mainland China – and that 21 per cent of the buyers of homes worth between $1-million and $3-million also went to such buyers.

    In his remarks, Mr. Harper mentioned “real-estate speculation” and the large number of condos that have been bought up but kept empty as an investment, by foreign buyers – a phenomenon that, in Vancouver’s downtown Coal Harbour neighbourhood, was found in one study to account for nearly 25 per cent of all condo units.

    “There are real concerns that foreign non-resident real-estate speculation is the reason some Canadian families find house prices beyond their budgets,” Mr. Harper said according to a prepared statement. “If such foreign non-resident buyers are artificially driving up the cost of real estate, and Canadian families are shut out of the market, that is a matter we should do something about.”

    The role of foreign investment in Vancouver’s real-estate sector is a subject that remains hugely controversial for several reasons, at least in part because the city has historically been shaped by Asian immigration – particularly from Hong Kong.

    Real-estate firms and homeowners have profited immensely as prices for detached houses and luxury properties have soared in recent years – boosted in part by tens of thousands of millionaires from China who arrived in the last decade on formal “immigrant investor” programs launched by the federal and provincial governments.

    But many think this additional demand has forced aspiring local homeowners to bid up lesser-valued properties to the point where the strong, new demand from Chinese buyers has actually trickled down into property categories and neighbourhoods far outside where foreign investors tend to buy properties – such as Vancouver’s West Side and Shaughnessy neighbourhoods. Vancouver Mayor Gregor Robertson has asked B.C. Premier Christy Clark to intervene in the market and consider a speculation tax, but Ms. Clark said the province will not take any measures – partly because it doesn’t consider foreign ownership of property a problem, and partly because new regulations would lower the value of homeowners’ properties.

    A backgrounder on the Conservative Party website said Mr. Harper would spend $500,000, starting in 2016-17, to collect data on “foreign buyer activity … particularly in Vancouver and Toronto,” and “take action” in co-ordination with the provinces to make sure real estate in Canada remains affordable. The Conservative website refers to other jurisdictions that have tracked and enacted regulations to counter the effects of strong foreign-capital inflows into real estate – such as Australia, which limits foreign investors to new housing units and bars them from purchasing existing housing stock. It also mentions “tax tools.”

    Eveline Xia, a local activist who recently held a rally on housing affordability called “Give Us Data,” said she was shocked by the fact that a federal politician has raised the subject of foreign ownership in real estate, but hoped that the issue remained non-partisan.

    “There are people who are coming up to me saying they will vote for anyone who takes this on,” Ms. Xia said. “And I just wish that the other parties will match it. Collecting data should not be a left, right or centre issue. It should be common sense.”

    Dan Scarrow, who runs Macdonald Realty’s Shanghai office and courts Chinese buyers for Canadian real estate, said more data on the subject is definitely needed but he was unsure what Mr. Harper intends to actually do about it.

    “I applaud any effort to collect more data on this issue, although I’m cautious about what the federal government can or will do about this,” Mr. Scarrow told The Globe. “After all, Canada is a big country, and a policy that may help one region may inadvertently hurt another.”

    MORE RELATED TO THIS STORY

    CHINESE BUYERS MAKING MARK ON VANCOUVER’S LUXURY HOUSING

    SOARING VANCOUVER HOME PRICES SPUR ANGER TOWARD FOREIGN BUYERS

    CHINESE ENVOY SAYS LACK OF OVERSIGHT BEHIND VANCOUVER’S HOUSE-PRICE CRISIS

    VANCOUVER’S DETACHED HOUSE PRICES KEEP SOARING AS SUPPLY DWINDLES

    REAL ESTATE VIDEO: VANCOUVER HOUSING HEATS UP, BUT IT'S NOT TOO HOT TO HANDLE

    VIDEO: RE-ELECTED TORIES WOULD TRACK FOREIGN HOME OWNERSHIP: HARPER






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