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Pedro Baños 道家哲学 中国崛起的古老战略
《战争之道:佩德罗·巴尼奥斯揭示中国崛起背后的古老战略》
作者:编辑 2026年7月15日
https://www.goaragon.eu/news-aragon-spain-tao-of-war-chinese-strategy/
《战争之道:佩德罗·巴尼奥斯揭示中国崛起背后的古老战略》
《战争之道:中国力量的永恒战略》(Ariel出版社)于去年四月出版,其前提既简单又准确:中国并非与西方在同一条件下竞争,而是系统地运用一套两千多年前的战略理论。本书也开启了佩德罗·巴尼奥斯的新系列,该系列致力于以战略和人文视角重新解读世界思想的经典著作。值得注意的是,这位前陆军预备役上校此次并非仅仅对孙子的《孙子兵法》进行评述;他以此为基础,对北京如何将这部著作转化为其外交政策的不成文准则进行了全面的解读。
事实上,本书的附加价值在同类出版物中并不常见:它收录了汉学家加布里埃尔·加西亚-诺布莱哈斯(Gabriel García-Noblejas)的《孙子兵法》新译本,以及一部未发表的西班牙语道家典籍《玉公三艺》。该典籍探讨了战略如何平衡伦理与权力、君民之间的关系。巴尼奥斯以孙子兵法的十三篇经典篇章为框架展开分析——从一般观察到间谍运用,涵盖训练、地形和进攻性火力作战——并展示了这些原则在当今北京的具体决策中是如何体现的。
本书的优势之一恰恰在于它能够用确凿的数据来佐证那些看似抽象的论点。例如,巴尼奥斯指出,中国几乎垄断了全球所有的太阳能电池板生产,占据了全球能源转型所需电池的大部分份额,风力涡轮机零部件的一半以上产自中国,粗钢产量也超过全球一半。这些数据印证了本书的核心观点:中国制造业在全球GDP中所占比例已从2000年的微不足道跃升至如今的相当大一部分,这一转变使北京成为名副其实的“世界工厂”,甚至超过了几个主要工业经济体的总和。
作者还援引了英国记者马丁·雅克提出的“文明国家”概念,来解释为何不能用西方民族国家的范畴来分析中国:中国拥有数千年的文化传承,民族和人口结构高度凝聚,其国家与社会之间的关系也难以用西方的框架来解释。巴尼奥斯由此出发,探讨了儒家思想如何远非普通的宗教,而是作为社会粘合剂支撑着中国共产党的权力计划,其象征性目标设定在2049年,即中华人民共和国成立一百周年。
本书毫不避讳地谈及最棘手的问题:南海争端、与台湾统一的阴影(北京认为这是关乎存亡且不容谈判的问题),以及乔亮和王祥穗两位上校1999年发表的关于“超限战”的极具影响力的文章。这篇文章预见了中国目前在商业、金融、科技和信息领域发动的混合战争。巴尼奥斯强调,北京已经学会了如何投射力量——通过“一带一路”倡议、在非洲和拉丁美洲寻求资源以及军队现代化——同时不断避免给华盛顿提供公开军事对抗的借口。正如作者本人所总结的,中国的最终目标是“不费一枪一弹”击败对手。这一概括概括了全书的精神,并与孙子兵法中最著名的格言直接相关:不战而胜。
本书的出版背景使其更具时效性。在最近的一次采访中,巴尼奥斯毫不含糊地指出了西方犯下的主要分析错误:我们仍然以西方视角看待世界,坚信我们的模式优越,这阻碍了我们理解其他思维方式以及已经塑造全球格局的新地缘政治动态。关于习近平近期在国际舞台上的崛起,作者断言,尽管美国因深陷冲突而形象受损,但北京却在不诉诸战争的情况下,依靠经济和战略发展,不断增强自身的影响力。
巴尼奥斯的作品一贯风格兼具通俗易懂与严谨性:文本面向广大读者,但又根植于他作为情报分析师的职业生涯和亲身实践。
本书作者拥有丰富的实战经验,包括在巴尔干地区的国际任务。《战争之道》并非危言耸听之作,而是一记警钟:如果西方想要与中国平起平坐地竞争,首先需要了解北京数十年来一直在玩弄的这场游戏的规则,而北京的耐心在欧美国家却极为罕见。
关于作者
佩德罗·巴尼奥斯是陆军上校(预备役),拥有参谋军官资格,并持有马德里康普顿斯大学国防与安全硕士学位。他曾担任驻斯特拉斯堡欧洲军团反情报与安全主管,并参与了在波斯尼亚和黑塞哥维那的国际任务(联合国保护部队、驻波黑稳定部队和欧盟部队)。他曾在包括土耳其、以色列和中国在内的十几个国家接受培训,是西班牙和拉丁美洲地缘政治与安全领域的顶尖分析家之一。他著有多部畅销书,均由 Ariel 出版,包括《世界是如何被统治的》、《全球统治》、《精神统治》和《全球十字路口》。
Pedro Baños 道家哲学 中国崛起的古老战略
《战争之道》
拉尔夫·D·索耶著
https://www.amazon.ca/Tao-War-Ralph-D-Sawyer/dp/0813340810
九世纪的军事统帅王震,对唐朝数十年来战乱的惨状深感痛心。他写道:“海中皆毒,陆中皆灾。”王震不禁思索:如何才能防患于未然?如何才能解释和理解冲突的本质?为了寻找答案,他求助于一部非凡的经典——《道德经》。本书收录了王震对这部古籍的解读和评注,并由中国军事史权威学者拉尔夫·D·索耶进行了精辟的扩充和阐释。尽管《道德经》对中国军事理论影响深远,但王震的诠释首次将其解读为一部军事经典——“战争之道”。
如同孙子的《孙子兵法》(无疑是史上最著名的战略著作)一样,《兵法》也为当代生活的挑战提供了借鉴。正如古代的《孙子兵法》为人们在各种竞争环境中取得成功提供了灵感和建议,即使在当今世界也是如此,王晨的《兵法》则揭示了管控冲突、促进和平的行动方案。王晨的《兵法》堪称与《孙子兵法》并列的经典之作,它同样提供了引人入胜且切实可行的建议。
The Tao Of War
by Ralph D. Sawyer
https://www.amazon.ca/Tao-War-Ralph-D-Sawyer/dp/0813340810
Wang Chen, a ninth-century military commander, was sickened by the carnage that had plagued the glorious T'ang dynasty for decades. "All within the seas were poisoned," he wrote, "and pain and disaster was rife throughout the land." Wang Chen wondered, how can we end conflicts before they begin? How can we explain and understand the dynamics of conflict? For the answer he turned to a remarkable source-the Tao Te Ching. Here is Wang Chen's own rendering of and commentary on the ancient text, insightfully expanded and amplified by translator Ralph D. Sawyer, a leading scholar of Chinese military history.
Although the Tao long influenced Chinese military doctrine, Wang Chen's interpretations produced the first reading of it as a martial text-a "tao of war." Like Sun-tzu's Art of War, certainly the most famous study of strategy ever written, the Tao provides lessons for the struggles of contemporary life. In the way that the ancient Art of War provides inspiration and advice on how to succeed in competitive situations of all kinds, even in today's world, Wang Chen's The Tao of War uncovers action plans for managing conflict and promoting peace. A book to put on the shelf next to Art of War, Wang Chen's The Tao of War is a reference of equally compelling and practical advice.
The Tao of War: Pedro Baños Unveils the Ancient Strategy Behind China's Rise
Por Editor
https://www.goaragon.eu/news-aragon-spain-tao-of-war-chinese-strategy/
Launched last April, The Tao of War: The Eternal Strategies of Chinese Power (Ariel) starts from a premise that is both simple and accurate: understanding that China does not compete with the West on the same terms, but rather systematically applies a strategic doctrine that is over two thousand years old. The book also inaugurates a new collection from Pedro Baños dedicated to revisiting the great classics of universal thought through a strategic and humanistic lens. It’s worth noting that the former Army Colonel in reserve does not simply comment on The Art of War by Sun Tzu this time; he builds upon it a comprehensive reading of how Beijing has turned that treatise into the unwritten manual of its foreign policy.
The volume, in fact, has an added value that is uncommon in this type of publication: it includes a new translation of The Art of War by sinologist Gabriel García-Noblejas, along with an unpublished Taoist text in Spanish, The Three Arts of War of the Duke of Jade, which addresses strategy as a balance between ethics and power, between ruler and people. Baños structures his analysis following the thirteen classic chapters of Sun Tzu—from general observations to the use of spies, covering training, topography, or offensive fire warfare—and shows how each of those principles translates today into concrete decisions made by Beijing.
One of the strengths of the book is precisely its ability to substantiate what might otherwise seem like an abstract thesis with hard data. Baños notes, for example, that China already concentrates nearly all of the world’s solar panel production, a majority part of the batteries powering the global energy transition, more than half of the components used in wind turbines, and over half of the crude steel manufactured globally. These figures illustrate a central idea of the work: Chinese manufacturing has shifted from representing a marginal fraction of the global GDP in 2000 to controlling a substantial part of it today, a turnaround that positions Beijing as the true factory of the world, even surpassing the combined sum of several major industrial economies.
The author also refers to the concept of «civilizational state,» coined by British journalist Martin Jacques, to explain why China cannot be analyzed using the categories of the Western nation-state: a cultural continuity spanning thousands of years, exceptional ethnic and demographic cohesion, and a relationship between the state and society that would be difficult to fit within a Western context. From there, Baños reviews how Confucianism—far from being an ordinary religion—functions as the social cement that underpins the Communist Party’s project of power, with a symbolic horizon set for 2049, when the centenary of the People’s Republic will be celebrated.
The book does not shy away from the hottest issues on the board: the dispute over the South China Sea, the shadow of a hypothetical reunification with Taiwan—which Beijing considers an existential and non-negotiable matter—or the reference to the influential 1999 essay by Colonels Qiao Liang and Wang Xiangsui on «unrestricted warfare,» which anticipated much of the hybrid war that China is currently waging in commercial, financial, technological, and informational arenas. Baños insists that Beijing has learned to project power—through the Belt and Road Initiative, the search for resources in Africa and Latin America, and the modernization of its armed forces—while constantly seeking not to give Washington a pretext for open military confrontation. As the author himself summarizes, China’s ultimate goal is to defeat its rivals «without needing to fire a single shot,» a synthesis that encapsulates the spirit of the entire book and connects directly with the most famous precept of Sun Tzu: the perfect victory is one that is achieved without combat.
The context in which the work appears makes it especially timely. In a recent interview, Baños has been unequivocal about the principal analytical error committed by the West: we continue to view the world from a Western perspective, convinced that our model is superior, which prevents us from understanding other ways of thinking and the new geopolitical dynamics that already shape the global course. Concerning Xi Jinping’s recent prominence on the international stage, the author asserts that while the image of the United States wears thin due to the conflicts it is embroiled in, Beijing strengthens its influence without resorting to war, relying on economic and strategic development.
As is typical in Baños’s work, the style combines accessibility and rigor: a text designed for a broad audience, but backed by his career as an intelligence analyst and his hands-on experience, including international missions in the Balkans. The Tao of War is not an alarmist book, but rather a wake-up call: if the West wants to compete with China on equal terms, it first needs to understand the rules of a game that Beijing has been playing for decades with a patience that is rarely cultivated in Europe and the United States.
About the Author
Pedro Baños is a Colonel in the Army (in reserve), a staff officer graduate, and holds a master’s degree in Defense and Security from the Complutense University of Madrid. He has served as Chief of Counterintelligence and Security for the European Army Corps in Strasbourg and has participated in international missions in Bosnia and Herzegovina (UNPROFOR, SFOR, and EUFOR). Trained in a dozen countries—including Turkey, Israel, and China—he is one of the leading analysts on geopolitics and security in Spain and Latin America. He is the author of several bestsellers also published by Ariel, including This is How the World is Dominated, Global Domination, Mental Domination, and The Global Crossroads.
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