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<title>每周投资小窍门-Economic Cycle and investment</title>
<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><em>Posting by 精英理财投资Aurora, Friday, September 27, 2013, 17:06:</em></p><p><p>Recessionary period：<br />
•	Increase investment in defensive companies (utilities, tobacco&amp; liquor, household non-durable items); decrease investment in cyclical companies (automobile, technology, manufacturers).<br />
•	Increase investment in investment-grade and government fixed income, as interest rate will decline; decrease investment in lower-quality fixed income.<br />
•	Increase investment in longer duration fixed income to benefit more from interest rate decline.<br />
•	Decrease investment in commodities and companies that produce commodities, in anticipation of lower commodity demand and lower commodity prices</p>
<p>Extractionary/ Inflationary period:<br />
•	Increase investment in cyclical companies, which should see a large increase in earnings, and decrease investment in defensive companies.<br />
•	Increase investments related to commodities, which should benefit from higher output in the economy.<br />
•	Decrease exposure to fixed income securities in anticipation of higher interest rates, but increase exposure to lower-quality fixed income securities in anticipation of lower default risk in an expanding economy.</p>
<p>Stagflation period:<br />
•	Decrease investment in fixed income securities in anticipation of higher inflation and nominal interest rates.<br />
•	Decrease investment in equities as revenue and profit margins will decrease.<br />
•	Increase investment related to commodities in anticipation of higher commodity prices.</p>
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<pubDate>Fri, 27 Sep 2013 17:06:13 GMT</pubDate>
<dc:creator>精英理财投资Aurora</dc:creator>
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